Rory McIlroy Favored After Beating Justin Thomas

2022 US Open Odds

Odds via PointsBet as of Sunday at 10:30 pm ET.

Golfer Odds
Rory McIlroy +1200
Scottie Scheffler +1300
Justin Thomas +1400
John Rahm +1500
Cameron Smith +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Collin Morikawa +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Will Zalatoris +2500
Viktor Hovland +2800
Dustin Johnson +3300
Sam Burns +3300
Brooks Koepka +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Tony Finau +3500
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Cameron Young +4500
Daniel Berger +5000
Max Homa +5000
Billy Horschel +6000
Justin Rose +6000
Sung-Jae Im +6000
Tommy Fleetwood +6000
Mito Pereira +6000
Davis Riley +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Bryson DeChambeau +6600
Corey Conners +6600
Louis Oosthuizen +6600
Tyrrell Hatton +6600
Jason Kokrak +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Russell Henley +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Web Simpson +8000
Talor Gooch +9000
Adam Scott +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Matthew Wolff +10000
Patrick Reed +10000
Harold Varner III +10000
Aaron Wise +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Si Woo Kim +12500
Sebastian Munoz +12500
Alex Norene +12500
Brian Harman +15000
Erik Van Rooyen +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Luke List +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +15000
Thomas Pieters +15000
Branden Grace +20000
Harris English +20000
Kevin Kisner +20000
Kevin Na +20000
Phil Mickelson +20000
Ryan Fox +20000
Cameron Tringale +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Joel Dahmen +20000
Lanto Griffin +20000
Denny McCarthy +20000
Adri Arnaus +20000
Stewart Cink +25000
Victor Perez +25000
Sam Horsfield +25000
Lucas Herbert +25000
Scott Stallings +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Thorbjorn Olesen +25000
Patrick Rodgers +25000
Matthew NeSmith +25000
Min Woo Lee +25000
Adam Hadwin +25000
Joohyung Kim +25000
Troy Merritt +25000
Guido Migliozzi +30000
Kurt Kitayama +30000
Nick Taylor +40000

After a stellar showing at the RBC Canadian Open and holding off Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy entered US Open week as the betting favorite.

On Sunday night, McIlroy was 12-1 at BetMGM and PointsBet, followed by Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Thomas. PLAYERS Championship winner Cameron Smith was the only other player at 20-1 or lower at BetMGM, and he’s joined at 20-1 by Xander Schauffele at PointsBet.

McIlroy was in the top 10 at both the Masters and PGA Championship, and entered the RBC Canadian Open with three top-10s in his previous four stops. He added to that stellar record with a win in Ontario, defending his title at the tournament.

Rahm enters the week with three top-10 finishes in his last five starts, including a win at last month’s Mexico Open. His next start was a T48 at the PGA Championship, which Thomas came out of nowhere to win at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa.

Scheffler’s impressive record as a professional in major championships took a hit when he missed the cut at the PGA Championship. Still, he has finished in the top 20 in seven of eight major-championship starts as a professional, including a T7 last year at Torrey Pines, where Rahm won his first major.

Thomas has been red hot this year, with seven top-10s in 12 starts entering the RBC Canadian Open, and he made it eight out of 13 with his third-place finish. The two-time PGA Championship winner has gone T8 and T19 in his last two US Open starts.

Course Preview

The Country Club hasn’t hosted a major since 1988, when Curtis Strange beat Nick Faldo in a playoff to win the US Open. It did host the 1999 Ryder Cup, which Justin Leonard famously won for the United States, and the 2013 US Amateur, which was won by Matt Fitzpatrick.

Unlike past US Opens, The Country Club is not going to be a test that involves the overwhelming length.

Last year, the South Course at Torrey Pines measured just shy of 7,700 yards. Players will face a different test this week with a par-70 track in Brookline.

The Country Club measures 7,264 yards, which sounds much lighter, but it will present the typical challenges that come with a US Open. The rough will be penalizing and the greens will be small and lightning fast. Distance will not play a huge role this week, but players will have to make sure they’re precise off the tee. If not, they will be punished.

Three of the first four holes are par 4s that play at least 490 yards, but players will then hit a 310-yard par 4 on No. 5. Hole Nos. 8 and 15 will be the par 5s this week. The final two holes are reasonably distanced par 4s that are both doglegs to the left.

Past Winners

Last year, Jon Rahm started the final round three strokes behind the leaders but delivered a three-under round that won him his first major at Torrey Pines. The year before that, Bryson DeChambeau dominated at Winged Foot en route to a six-stroke victory.

Gary Woodland won at Pebble Beach in 2019 at 13-under par, and it was Brooks Koepka going back-to-back the two years before that, including a 16-under win at Erin Hills in 2017.

While scoring might reach double digits, it’s a rare occurrence at the US Open. Since the turn of the century, the winning score has been double digits under par just four times: Tiger Woods in 2000 at Pebble Beach (12-under for a 15-stroke win), McIlroy in ’11 at Congressional (16-under for an eight-stroke win), Koepka in ’17 (four-stroke win) and Woodland (three-stroke win).

For those of you who really like to see the world’s best suffer, the winning score has been over par five times in the last 16 years. Both Rahm and DeChambeau won at 6-under in the past two US Opens.

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