DFS Cup Series Championship: DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy NASCAR lineup picks

that’s it. The NASCAR Cup Series season drops to one final race in Phoenix. Will Christopher Bell, Ross Chastain, Chase Elliott or Joey Logano win the Cup Series after Sunday’s race?

It’s been a really fun season of the NASCAR movement, so I just want to take this opportunity to thank everyone who’s followed along with our coverage here at RotoBaller. This has been the most unpredictable NASCAR season I can remember, and I’ve been watching the sport for 21 years. Prior to this season, who would have thought Ross Chastain would be the title contender? Or that a lot of drivers will win? From Austin Dillon’s first leg win in Daytona to Christopher Bell winning several must-win playoff races, it’s been a tough year.

Below are the files NASCAR DFS Lineup Selects for DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate is locked 06/11/22 4:34 p.m. ET. If you have any questions or want to talk about NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at Tweet embed.

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DFS Lineup Picks – DraftKings, FanDuel

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Christopher Bell

Starts 17 – DK: $10,700, FD: $13,500

Two drivers who started outside the top 15 finished qualifying. The way Phoenix — and Homestead before that — has worked in this current format is that at some point, the qualifying drivers make their way to the front and fight for the win. Other drivers give them a little more room, and their teams give them the best gear possible.

So, I think we have to find a way to fit Christopher Bell (17th place) and Ross Chastain (25th place) into the lineup for this reason.

Bale would probably be the better playback, in large part because we’ve already seen Bale win a must-have playoff race twice this year. If momentum is present, Bell has the most momentum in the chain. He finished ninth in this race last year, and won here at Xfinity. The difference in place makes me prefer him over Elliott and Lugano, even if I think they are more likely to win.

Joey Logano

Start 1 – DK: $10,700, FD: $12,500

We have Bale as the playoff driver in the differential. Now, let’s have Joey Logano as the break driver driving our laps. Lugano will shoot from the pole, has teammate Ryan Blaney by his side and a Ford driver behind in Chase Briscoe. There is no reason why Lugano cannot dominate the first stage of this race. Once pit strategies get involved, who knows what will happen and Chase Elliott will likely have better long-term pace than Logano, but I would expect to see Logano driving a good portion of those early laps.

In the only trophy race here with this current car, it was Blaney who was in pole position, drove the first 27 laps of the race and then ended up switching the lead back and forth with the Hendrick drivers for much of the day.

It’s also worth noting that Lugano has twice won the Cup Series here and has found himself very much out front, driving over 100 laps here in the Fall 2020 and Spring 2021 races.

Ryan Blaney

Starting from 2 to DK: 9,100 USD, FD: 10,500 USD

While we’re talking about Penske cars, let’s talk about Ryan Blaney, who starts second. Lugano should Be the one to drive early, but Blaney is also in the front row and he’ll be hungry.

This is Blaney’s last chance to win a race this season. If he fails to win on Sunday, it would be his first season without a win since 2016. Blaney has been good this year, but hasn’t worked out the deal yet, despite the fact that he’s driven 143 in Phoenix’s first race, as well as 128 laps in Richmond. . Blaney’s speed seemed to evaporate over the summer, as he had seven races where he drove two-digit laps only once, and was immediately followed by another seven-race distance with only one race.

But this is a good path for him. He has four of the top 10 in a row here and four of the top five on the track. This is a good shot like Blaney who ended up all year in victory lane.

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Bubba Wallace

Start 23 – DK: $7,300, FD: $7,800

Wallace starts 23rd on this one, giving him a decent amount of differential to the upside. And there… there really isn’t much to say here. In the same price range, you have a bunch of drivers in similar gear to Boba starting in front of him, so there’s little PD advantage from playing with him over someone like Aric Almirola or Brad Keselowski.

In terms of his track record here in Phoenix, Wallace has struggled pretty much, with only one in the top 10, coming back in 2018. His finishes here with 23XI Racing are 16, 39 and 22. 23 equals his best qualifying effort here.

But despite never qualifying for the top 20, Wallace has four spots in the top 20 in nine games starting here. I think this is a bit encouraging.

Eric Jones

Starting at 30 – DK: $6800, FD: $6500

Jones starts 30th in this, in what was a poor qualifying effort for two Petty GMS cars. But Jones has consistently outperformed his playoff efforts this season, with a start average of 20.7 and a finish average of 16.3.

Jones had some good highlights in Phoenix early in his career, including a fourth place finish in 2017, but things have dried up recently. In his last five races here, his best finish was 20.

But while the track record stuff isn’t great, I just think Jones’ metrics this season are pointing in his favour. He’s somewhere around the top 15 drivers this year in the Cup series and he started in 30th place – I’ll put the record-breaking aside when there’s this kind of upward differential.

Ty Dillon

Starting at 32 – DK: $5600, FD: $4000

Dillon makes his final start with Petty GMS on Sunday after a disappointing year with the team. While Eric Jones found his way into the victory lane at 43, this 42 was in the top ten all season, with Dillon averaging the finish at 22.5.

But Dillon starts 32nd on Sunday, so finishing him average would be a 10-plus position difference. When it comes to identifying a play with deep value, I’m looking for this kind of PD improvement, and Dillon offers more than Corey Lajoie or Todd Gilliland, as well as Cole Custer, Ty Gibbs and Harrison Burton, they all start in the top ten and so have A negative uptrend from a PD perspective.

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